As we passed the one-year mark from the onset of COVID-19, business activity is recovering from lockdowns amidst a progressive rollout of vaccines. In combination with fiscal stimulus, the gradual reopening of economies threatens to push global output above potential levels, triggering inflation. A look back at the late 1960s […]
Vaccine deployment is beginning to allow pent-up demand in service industries to materialise, but with notable differences across countries and sectors. The recent increase in the number of COVID-19 cases may be partially explained by higher global mobility, as some policymakers are prepared to loosen restrictions as long as cases […]
2020 will forever be remembered as the year of the COVID-19 pandemic, which led to the most severe economic contraction in almost 100 years. In addition to COVID-19, 2020 was also memorable for other developments: As the world ground to a halt in March, policy responses were similarly unprecedented in […]
US ELECTIONS WHAT HAS HAPPENED (IN CASE YOU HAVE BEEN LIVING UNDER A ROCK)? Joe Biden has won the US presidential election. The Senate will probably stay in Republican hands (all eyes are on Georgia for the results of the runoff in January). Biden had an ambitious agenda with regards […]
The release of this outlook coincides with the 6-month anniversary of when the UK first entered lockdown. As households and companies adjust to this COVID-19 dominated era, so must investors. One of the main conclusions is that the combination of VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity) is the highest that […]
Financial markets have rallied since April, with investors growing more confident that economies will turn around quickly from the fallout caused by the pandemic. Their optimism has increased in recent weeks as various countries have started to ease lock-down restrictions and tentative signs of stabilisation have emerged. Daily activity trackers […]
Financial markets have rallied since April, with investors growing confident that economies will turn around quickly from the fallout from the pandemic. Their optimism has grown stronger in recent weeks as various countries have started to ease lockdown restrictions and tentative signs of stabilisation have emerged. Daily activity trackers from […]
The first real pandemic in 100 years, the bursting of a credit and asset bubble that everyone believed in, and the incredible speed of the reversal has left many people bewildered, confused and grasping at straws. It is natural for human nature to look for hopeful outcomes at a time […]
Financial markets have rallied since April, with investors growing confident that economies will turn around quickly from the fallout from the pandemic. Their optimism has grown stronger in recent weeks as various countries have started to ease lockdown restrictions and tentative signs of stabilisation have emerged. Daily activity trackers from […]